On the current map (top), Democrats hold NC-1, NC-4, and NC-12 looking at the new map (bottom) they’re expected to gain NC-2 and NC-6 (Map 1): Map 1: North Carolina’s congressional districts, 2018 vs 2020 This imbalance was the basis of the lawsuits that have produced the current map, and state courts led by the Democratic-controlled state Supreme Court intervened first against the state’s legislative districts and then its congressional districts in recent months.Ĭomparing the current map to the version that was approved this week, several differences emerge. In response to a racial redistricting lawsuit, Republicans drew another gerrymander in advance of the 2016 election, which preserved the 10-3 GOP delegation.ĭemocrats held seven of the state’s 13 congressional seats after the 2010 elections - Democrats drew those lines - but largely as a result of Republican redistricting maps, they are currently down to just three. Bev Perdue (D) was powerless to stop them. So as the Republican legislative leaders tackled redistricting in 2011, Gov. In the aftermath of the 2010 red wave, the GOP controlled both chambers for the first time since Reconstruction. Even then, the legislature retained all control on redistricting matters. Indeed, in 1996, the North Carolina governor became the last of the 50 state executives to receive the veto pen. When the framers of the North Carolina constitution drafted the document, they were wary of the state’s harsh treatment under its British colonial rulers, so they designed a weak executive branch. This dated back to a quirk in the state’s political dynamics: the office of the North Carolina governor is historically weak.
Since the 2014 election, the Republicans have held a plush 10-3 advantage in the state’s 13-member congressional delegation. Since the 1990s, the state has been known for its irregularly-shaped districts it will see its third congressional map this decade implemented for the 2020 election - which will be in place just one cycle before the lines are again redrawn for 2022, following the decennial census. New NC map gives House Democrats a bufferįew states have seen more redistricting-related litigation than North Carolina. Table 1: Crystal Ball House ratings changes Member/District While the new map better reflects North Carolina’s divided though Republican-leaning politics - Republicans almost certainly will see their advantage in the state’s delegation reduced from 10-3 to 8-5 - few districts are poised to be genuinely competitive. Mark Walker (R, NC-6) has quickly climbed the ranks of House Republicans, but he now finds his career path complicated by the new map. With a new congressional map in place, Democrats seem poised to flip two seats in the Tar Heel State, one in the Raleigh area and another in the Greensboro area.
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